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China trade: de-risking, reshoring efforts chip away at exports as July shipments fall at steepest pace since early 2020

  • China’s exports fell by 14.5 per cent in July compared with a year earlier, while imports fell by 12.4 per cent last month
  • Falling exports will lead to weaker production, while slumping imports highlight lower domestic demand, which is set to test China’s 2023 growth target, analysts said

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Weak exports, caused by falling global demand, have increased the pressure for Beijing to boost domestic consumption in the rest of the year. Photo: AP
Ji Siqiin Beijing

China reported a deeper-than-expected drop in both exports and imports in July, raising concerns beyond the current wave of global economic downturn, as the trend of supply chain relocation consolidates.

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The slump points to worsening overall prospects, analysts said, with exports expected to contract at a similar scale until the end of the year, meaning growth will take time to rebound.

The broad-based fall also exposes China’s mounting challenges as it struggles to revive domestic demand and reboot business sector confidence amid a sputtering post-pandemic recovery, threatening the annual growth target of around 5 per cent.
Exports fell for the third consecutive month, with the 14.5 per cent drop from a year earlier to US$281.76 billion marking the deepest decline since February 2020, according Chinese customs figures released on Tuesday.
I’m pulling out my own savings to run my company now, and with it I can still pay for the employee salaries
Luo

Imports, meanwhile, fell by 12.4 per cent from a year earlier to US$201.16 billion, with China’s total trade surplus rising to US$80.6 billion in July compared to US$70.62 billion in June.

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Millions of small business owners are struggling to keep their firms afloat due to an absence of sustainable income growth prospects, among them a Shenzhen-based housewares exporter surnamed Luo.

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