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As Myanmar junta holds out on elections, could China rethink its support?

  • Analysts say junta lacks capacity and influence to organise fair and free election despite pressure from Beijing to ‘change gears’

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Myanmar’s Chairman of the State Administration Council (SAC) Senior General Min Aung Hlaing at a meeting in Naypyidaw in January. Photo; Myanmar’s Ministry of Information/Handout via Xinhua

China could be increasingly perceiving Myanmar’s junta as “the main problem”, with generals in the war-torn Southeast Asian country unwilling to hold talks with resistance forces as urged by Beijing.

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Observers warn that if an election is held next year in Myanmar as promised, it is likely to be incomplete and “far from representative”.

Last Wednesday, Myanmar’s military government extended a state of emergency for another six months, according to state media, on grounds it would give the junta more time to put together population data for voter lists.

Since the coup in February 2021, General Min Aung Hlaing had repeatedly promised an election, saying that the 2020 poll was riddled with widespread voter fraud. Last month, he promised a free and fair election next year.

Upon seizing power, the military put the country under emergency rule for a year and had extended its rule every six months. Meanwhile, the protest movement has morphed into an armed rebellion that has widened and is now posing a threat to the regime.

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On Monday, the junta said it had lost communications with commanders of the Northeast Command in the city of Lashio, a strategically important army headquarters in the country’s northeast and the second-largest city in Shan State.

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