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Opinion | How US-China competition in addressing climate change could benefit Southeast Asia

  • Both countries face challenges in expanding climate cooperation: the US is beholden to domestic politics while China’s economic growth makes reducing emissions difficult
  • There are also different forms of governance, styles of engagement and policy objectives involved, shaping Asean’s cooperation with both countries in different ways

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US President Joe Biden with Chinese President Xi Jinping in Beijing in 2013. Photo: TNS
Recent tensions between the US and China escalated due to a trade war before being complicated by the coronavirus pandemic and compounded further by a global economic recession, revealing a sharper and deeper rivalry. The tit-for-tat actions over the South China Sea, closures of consulates, banning of WeChat and the order to sell TikTok have fuelled concerns about a “new cold war”.
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US President Joe Biden has not minced words when it comes to competition and cooperation with China. Biden has said cooperating with other nations to meet new global challenges is necessary but has also said the US is in competition with China to “win the 21st century”. Southeast Asia, a focal point for great power rivalries, depends on a functioning US-China relationship proceeding smoothly for regional stability.
China’s announcement last September of a 2060 carbon neutrality target and the US decision in January to rejoin the Paris Agreement have kindled hopes of cooperation between the two powers. Climate change has been identified as one key area for potential cooperation between the US and China, yet the US is seeking “stand-alone” cooperation on climate change issues, whereas China objects to “selective multilateralism”.

The appointments of Xie Zhenhua, China’s former chief climate negotiator in 2015, and former US secretary of state John Kerry as special climate envoys is a positive sign that cooperation will advance. So far, the two countries have committed to co-chairing a G20 study group on climate-related financial risks. It remains to be seen whether more cooperation will be announced in the lead-up to COP26 in Glasgow.

The US accounts for 14.5 per cent of the world’s total greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions, while China accounts for 27.9 per cent. Together, the world’s two largest economies account for more than 40 per cent of global GHG emissions.

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If the two powers are successful in implementing their national mitigation targets by mid-century and manage to cooperate in the development and deployment of advanced technologies, the world’s chances of slowing global warming will improve dramatically.

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