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On Reflection | China-Philippines ‘hit and run’: Duterte’s downplaying of the incident is sign of his Beijing dilemma

  • When a Chinese vessel allegedly hit and sunk a Philippine ship, the reaction from the Southeast Asian nation was swift – but then it began to waver
  • On top of this, the president’s soft response is a sign of difficulty getting support for friendly relations with Beijing, writes Richard Heydarian

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Rescued Filipino fishermen transfer to another ship on June 14 after the collision with a Chinese vessel five days earlier. Photo: AP

“I am more afraid of an army of 100 sheep led by a lion than an army of 100 lions led by a sheep,” Charles Maurice de Talleyrand-Périgord, the legendary Napoleonic-era diplomat, once admitted.

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A direct witness to Napoleon Bonaparte’s audacious military expeditions, which turned France from a besieged revolutionary state into an intercontinental empire, he potently realised the power of leadership in times of crisis.

Today, many are wondering what kind of leadership the Philippines has amid President Rodrigo Duterte’s deafening silence following a major incident that may derail his rapprochement with Beijing.

The normally tough-talking Filipino leader is now caught between the rock of calibrating his diplomatic response to avoid tensions with Beijing on one hand, and a harder place of risking all-out political backlash at home on the other.

Duterte’s strategic dilemma was fully on display through his days-long silence as well as confused responses by various government officials.

On June 9, marking Philippine-China Friendship Day, a Chinese vessel allegedly hit and sunk Philippine vessel F/B GIMVER 1, then abandoned its 22 seamen on the high seas. The incident took place in the Reed Bank, an energy-rich area within the Philippines’ exclusive economic zone and China’s nine-dash line.

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The damaged Philippines fishing boat F/B Gimver 1 lies on the shores at San Jose, in the Occidental Mindoro province. Photo: AP
The damaged Philippines fishing boat F/B Gimver 1 lies on the shores at San Jose, in the Occidental Mindoro province. Photo: AP
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