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Temu owner PDD’s stock rout reflects ‘shaken investor confidence’, analysts say

  • The rout came after management said they would sacrifice short-term profits for long-term growth and forgo share buy-backs or dividends in coming years.

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The Pinduoduo logo is seen on a smartphone screen in this arranged photo, January 19, 2020. Photo: Shutterstock Images
Ben Jiangin Beijing

A 28.5 per cent stock price plunge on Monday that wiped US$55 billion off the valuation of PDD Holdings, the owner of shopping apps Temu and Pinduoduo, reflected “shaken investor confidence” in its future after top management dumbfounded investors by playing down profit prospects, analysts said.

Nasdaq-listed PDD, a rival of Alibaba Group Holding in global e-commerce, suffered its biggest intraday stock price fall since its listing in 2015, lowering the net worth of low profile founder Colin Huang – who was briefly China’s richest man – by an estimated US$14 billion. Alibaba owns the South China Morning Post.

The rout came after company executives said they would sacrifice short-term profits for long-term growth and forgo share buy-backs or dividends in coming years, after PDD’s second-quarter results just missed analysts’ expectations.

This photo taken on July 26, 2018 shows PDD founder Colin Huang, who lost an estimated US$14 billion in Monday’s stock rout. Photo: AFP
This photo taken on July 26, 2018 shows PDD founder Colin Huang, who lost an estimated US$14 billion in Monday’s stock rout. Photo: AFP

Investors were spooked after management gave weak guidance for future growth, and conveyed their views on stock repurchase programmes and dividend sharing amid heightened competition and market uncertainties, according to Li Chengdong, founder and chief analyst at e-commerce consultancy Dolphin.

PDD Holdings chairman and co-chief executive Chen Lei said in an earnings statement that the firm was “committed to transitioning towards high-quality development and fostering a sustainable ecosystem”, and would “invest heavily in the platform’s trust and safety, supporting high-quality merchants”.

“We’re prepared to accept short-term sacrifices and potential decline in profitability,” Chen said, in a cautionary tone that Wang Xiaoyan, a senior analyst at 86Research, said would put a damper on investors’ confidence.

UBS analysts wrote in a note to clients that PDD’s outlook was “confusing”. “Investors seem unsure whether PDD sees something that we don’t or they are just being overly conservative amid the uncertain macro [environment],” UBS wrote.

The Chinese e-commerce market is undergoing a shake-up amid a softening economy and weakened consumer spending.

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