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'Rigid' demand for homes is more of a marketing myth than reality

People often say that property prices on the mainland will just keep on rising, but this is not grounded in reality

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The height of Shanghai's towers may keep climbing forever, but not so home prices. Photo: Bloomberg

Commentators on the mainland property market have often attributed the resilience of home prices and their resistance to pressure to "rigid" buyer demand. I have my doubts.

First, the need for accommodation should not be confused with the need to buy and own a home.

People's physiological survival, let alone their emotional well-being, is very much diminished if they don't have a roof over their head for prolonged periods - unless perhaps they are marooned in a tropical paradise. Whether a home is rented or bought has little, if any, impact on survival.

But wouldn't hard-earned money be better used to pay off a mortgage instead of rent - to accumulate wealth and not have to worry about finding accommodation in retirement? Of course, and I think buying a home is a good move for most families in the long run, for social and financial reasons.

However, the decision still depends on individual circumstances, external and internal, and timing - just ask Hong Kong homeowners who bought at the 1997 peak, or for that matter the Americans who entered their market in 2006.

In short, buying a home is not an optimal or even a good choice all the time in all places and for all people.

While the human need for accommodation tends to be rigid, the need to buy a home is not. It is comparatively flexible, or "elastic" to use economics terminology.

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