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Opinion | Israel-Iran showdown puts the whole world in uncharted territory

  • Iran’s launch of more than 300 drones and missiles towards Israel has major implications for geopolitics beyond the Middle East
  • The escalation highlights regional divides, changing attitudes towards the US and a shifting focus away from other conflicts

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Israel’s Iron Dome air defence system launches missiles to intercept those fired from Iran, in the early hours of April 14. Photo: AP
For the first time, Iran has directly attacked Israel. More than 300 drones, cruise missiles and ballistic missiles were launched by Iran towards Israel. Standing guard on the receiving end, Israel, the US, the UK, France and partners like Jordan intercepted the Iranian barrage. The result: 99 per cent of Iran’s drones and missiles were shot down.
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The attack represents a new status quo for the Middle East. Whatever stability and optimism existed previously is now effectively gone. It is all but assured that Israel will retaliate, and Tehran has warned that such a move would draw an even greater Iranian response.

Today, there are at least three conflicts taking place in the Middle East at the same time: the Israel-Gaza war, the Red Sea crisis and now the conflict between Tel Aviv and Tehran, all of which are interlinked in the background.

The consequences of the Israel-Iran showdown will be global, representing one of the most significant geopolitical moments in the 21st century. It adds another dimension to the geopolitical landscape at a time when the world is already facing a myriad of crises.

One of the biggest consequences is for the United States. Iran’s actions show that the world now views America differently. This is a hard pill for Washington to swallow. Just a short time ago, Iran would have never dared to take such bold, direct action against Israel. But now it has done just that. This is a telling sign: US adversaries are willing to test Washington like never before and are willing to do things that were once unthinkable.

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While Iran is one headache for the US, closely watching in the background are Russia, China and North Korea, all of whom have their own geopolitical agendas. In the capitals of these countries, a new line of thinking may well have surfaced: if Iran can go this far, how far could we push things?

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