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US consumers’ near-term inflation expectation lowest since 2020

Households’ one-year inflation expectation stood at 2.8 per cent, down from 2.9 per cent in July and now the lowest since December 2020

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Shoppers outside the Macy’s flagship store in New York. Photo: Bloomberg

US consumers see inflation continuing to moderate in the next year, with a gauge of price growth expectations published on Friday at the lowest level in August since late 2020.

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The University of Michigan’s monthly consumer sentiment index survey showed households’ one-year inflation expectation at 2.8 per cent, down from 2.9 per cent in July and now the lowest since December 2020. The five-year outlook for price growth was unchanged at 3 per cent.

The wider survey showed a modest improvement in consumer sentiment this month, with the uptick having significant political overtones as the November 5 US presidential election approaches.

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The overall sentiment index edged up to 67.9 in August from July’s eight-month low of 66.4, snapping a four-month slide.

The increase largely came from self-described political independents, Joanne Hsu, the director of the University of Michigan’s Surveys of Consumers, said in a statement.

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