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Hong Kong budget: with years of deficits looming, city must find new revenue streams and areas for economic growth, experts warn

  • Economists warn city is running structural deficit earlier than had been expected
  • Next year’s deficit will hit all-time high of HK$139.1 billion because of one-off relief measures

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Financial Secretary Paul Chan delivers his budget speech in the Legislative Council chamber of Wednesday. Photo: Winson Wong

The Hong Kong government’s decision to go into the red this year – and for the next five – has sparked calls from financial experts for it to come up with a more comprehensive strategy to seek other revenue streams and identify new areas of economic growth.

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Some warned that the city was facing a structural deficit a year earlier than government advisers had predicted, despite denials from the finance chief on Wednesday.

Economists in the government’s Working Group on Long-Term Fiscal Planning warned six years ago that there could be a structural deficit by 2021, as increases in expenditure exceeded revenue growth as a result of the ageing population.

But it was the double hit of the US-China trade war and the coronavirus epidemic that resulted in the city’s first deficit of HK$37.8 billion (US$4.8 billion) in 15 years, since the severe acute respiratory syndrome (Sars) outbreak.

The administration predicted there would be deficits over the next five years, ranging from HK$7.4 billion to HK$17 billion. Next year’s would also hit an all-time high – of HK$139.1 billion – because of one-off relief measures.

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