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Opinion | Why China’s extreme coronavirus controls are unlikely to work elsewhere

  • Chinese strategy of having zero infections uses big data and surveillance to identify and quarantine any new case
  • But it’s a different story in the United States, where lockdowns have been lifted despite a high transmission rate

Reading Time:3 minutes
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Residents of a compound in Urumqi, Xinjiang get tested on Sunday. The city has been locked down amid a fresh outbreak. Photo: Reuters
As the world tries to adjust to a “new normal” and restart economic activities while continuing to grapple with the coronavirus, there are two extremes playing out.
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At one end is the US, where lockdowns have been lifted in many states despite the high transmission rate, and there are heated debates about freedom and mask-wearing, despite mounting evidence that masks reduce the spread of the virus.

That reopening in the worst-hit country has been blamed by health experts – including White House coronavirus adviser Anthony Fauci – for a dramatic rise in new cases last week. More than 850,000 new cases were recorded in the 14 days to Sunday, with a record 75,000 infections on Friday alone. The spike has prompted many states to scale back their reopening measures.

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Donald Trump seen wearing a face mask in public for the first time as Covid-19 ravages US

Donald Trump seen wearing a face mask in public for the first time as Covid-19 ravages US

At the other end is China, where the deadly new virus was first reported late last year, and which has been pursuing a strategy of elimination – it wants zero new infections. It is doing this using extreme surveillance measures to identify and quarantine every single new case.

Mainland epidemiologists have pointed to the success of this strategy in containing a recent outbreak in Beijing, and now the focus is on a new hotspot, Xinjiang. Shanghai’s top epidemiologist Zhang Wenhong is one of those advocating the elimination approach, and he has warned Hong Kong that if it does not follow suit it could pay a high price in the long term.

But a closer look at how China has managed to get the pandemic under control shows it is a model that, despite its impressive results, cannot be replicated elsewhere.

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Beijing lowers coronavirus emergency level after two weeks with no new infections

Beijing lowers coronavirus emergency level after two weeks with no new infections

In Beijing, four days after the first case was traced to the Xinfadi wholesale market on June 11, the authorities had identified 200,000 workers and people who had visited since May 30.

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