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Guangdong’s coronavirus success shows an outbreak can be controlled, study finds

  • More than 1.6 million Covid-19 tests have been carried out in the southern Chinese province
  • Oxford researcher says studying virus genomes can help reveal transmission patterns as well as travel and contact history

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Students wear protective face masks while walking in Guangzhou, the capital of Guangdong, on Wednesday. Some schools in the city have started to resume. Photo: EPA-EFE
New analysis of coronavirus genomes from Guangdong has revealed that mass testing and intervention measures such as travel restrictions were effective at containing the Covid-19 outbreak in China’s most populous province.
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Researchers from the University of Oxford and the Guangdong Centre for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) analysed the genomic sequences of 53 patients from Guangdong. Their study revealed that the outbreak in Guangdong was mostly made up of independent cases introduced from outside the southern province instead of local transmission, which was around a quarter of the total cases in the province.

The researchers credit the containment of community spread in Guangdong to mass testing, tracing and isolation.

“Our work in Guangdong province shows that high levels of very early testing, together with active case tracing and strict isolation, can bring an outbreak under control,” said Dr Lu Jing from the Guangdong CDC and co-author of the study.

Life in Guangdong is slowly returning. Photo: EPA-EFE
Life in Guangdong is slowly returning. Photo: EPA-EFE
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Guangdong is China’s most populous province with 113 million people. It has close transport links with the central province of Hubei, whose capital Wuhan was the site of the first reported coronavirus cases. The researchers said the Wuhan-Guangzhou high-speed railway was estimated to transfer up to 200,000 passengers a day during the Spring Festival period, which started on January 10.

By March 19, Guangdong had 1,388 confirmed Covid-19 cases, the highest outside Hubei. Locally transmitted cases were estimated to be 336, and two-thirds – or 1,014 – had a likely exposure history in Hubei. Around 1.6 million tests were performed, the paper said.

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