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Sri Lanka turmoil highlights risk for Chinese firms investing overseas

  • Mass protests forced the country’s president Gotabaya Rajapaksa to flee and analysts warn that other countries may face greater unrest in the coming months
  • Risk analysts say Chinese firms must stay on top of local political developments when doing business abroad

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Protesters stormed the Sri Lankan Prime Minister Ranil Wickremesinghe’s office, demanding he resign after president Gotabaya Rajapaksa fled the country, Photo: AFP
The turmoil in Sri Lanka is the latest warning to Chinese investors about political risk in emerging markets, analysts have warned.
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Chinese companies operating overseas need to prepare crisis management plans in case of social unrest and political turmoil in these developing countries, according to Chris Torrens, a partner at the consultancy Control Risks.

“Sri Lanka is a reminder of the need to have effective crisis management plans in place and regular exercises or training to ensure that everyone knows what to do,” Torrens said. “Scenario planning is also essential as part of this process.”

The massive protests in Sri Lanka, triggered by severe shortages of food and fuel reached a peak in the past week, when angry demonstrators stormed and occupied the residence of former president Gotabaya Rajapaksa, who this week fled to the Maldives before resigning.

There have been growing concerns that the Sri Lanka-style chaos will occur in other highly indebted developing countries, for example Pakistan, where high inflation and prolonged power cuts prompted people to take the street in Karachi last month. At least one woman died in clashes between police and protesters.

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“Investors may need to take into account the capacity of domestic governance when investing overseas particularly when the international environment is not doing well,” said Lin Minwang, a professor of South Asian studies at Fudan University in Shanghai.

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