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US investigation of Covid-19 origins fails to reach conclusive assessment

  • Analysts determining Covid-19’s origins remain divided on whether the virus came from a lab leak or jumped from animal reservoir to humans naturally
  • President Biden issues a statement after the unclassified report is released that he will press China for more data on the early Covid-19 cases

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A worker carrying disinfecting equipment walks outside Wuhan Central Hospital in China in February. Photo: AP
A widely anticipated US government investigation into the origins of the coronavirus pandemic failed to yield a conclusive assessment, according to a summary of its findings released on Friday.

While dismissing the possibility that Sars-CoV-2 was developed as a biological weapon, intelligence community (IC) analysts trying to determine Covid-19’s origins remained divided about whether the virus came from a lab leak or jumped from an animal reservoir to humans naturally.

Four IC “elements” leaned towards animal-to-human, also known as zoonotic, transmission as most likely, with “low confidence” in that assessment.

One element determined that “the first human infection … most likely was the result of a laboratory-associated incident, probably involving experimentation, animal handling, or sampling by the Wuhan Institute of Virology (WIV)”. That assessment was made “with moderate confidence”.

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Analysts at three IC elements “remain unable to coalesce around either explanation without additional information, with some analysts favouring natural origin, others a laboratory origin, and some seeing the hypotheses as equally likely”, according to the summary.

Robert Delaney is the Post’s North America bureau chief. He spent 11 years in China as a language student and correspondent for Dow Jones Newswires and Bloomberg, and continued covering the country as a correspondent and an academic after leaving. His debut novel, The Wounded Muse, draws on actual events that played out in Beijing while he lived there.
Simone McCarthy joined the Post in 2018. She previously wrote about China tech, business and society for SupChina and has a bachelor's in literature from Yale University and a master's from Columbia Journalism School.
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