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China’s mixed economic activity in July puts Beijing’s stimulus stance in spotlight

  • While retail sales inched up in July, property investment in China worsened slightly while urban unemployment rose and fixed-asset-investment growth slowed

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China’s overall fixed-asset investments, which include property spending, rose by 3.6 per cent in the first seven months of the year. Photo: AP
Mia Nulimaimaitiin Hong KongandOrange Wangin Beijing

China’s economy continued to be weighed down in July by a persistent property slump, weak consumption and elevated unemployment, prompting analysts to expect stronger fiscal support from Beijing amid a rising risk of missing its annual growth target.

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Following the monthly data release, China’s central bank said it would embrace new policies that help boost growth.

“First of all, we’ll increase implementation efforts to make [monetary policy adjustments] more effective,” Pan Gongsheng, governor of the People’s Bank of China, was quoted as saying by state broadcaster CCTV. “Second, we will further plan new incremental policies” as required by the central government.

China’s retail sales rose last month by 2.7 per cent, year on year, compared with 2 per cent growth seen in June, according to data released by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) on Thursday.

Property investment experienced a year-on-year decline of 10.2 per cent in the first seven months of 2024, following a 10.1 per cent drop from January to June.

This is posing more challenges to [Beijing’s] annual growth target
Ding Shuang, Standard Chartered
The prolonged real estate crisis constrained overall fixed-asset-investment growth to 3.6 per cent from January to July – a slowdown from the 3.9 per cent increase recorded from January to June – and fell short of Wind’s forecast of 3.88 per cent growth.
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