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China’s economy shows signs of recovery with upbeat retail sales and industrial production, but ‘pessimism prevails’

  • Industrial production rose by 4.2 per cent in August from a year earlier, while retail sales rose by 5.4 per cent last month
  • Fixed-asset investment rose by 5.8 per cent in the January-August period, while the surveyed jobless rate stood at 5.3 per cent last month

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Retail sales rose by 5.4 per cent in August, above an expected rise of 4.2 per cent and up from the 2.7 per cent growth in July. Photo: Xinhua
Luna Sunin Beijing

China’s economy recovered better than expected in August, but growth momentum continues to weaken amid renewed coronavirus outbreaks and mass lockdowns, slowing exports and a housing downturn, signalling a cloudy outlook for the rest of the year.

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Retail sales beat expectations to rise by 5.4 per cent year on year in August, up from the 2.7 per cent growth in July. Strong automobile sales, which surged by 15.9 per cent year on year, led the way thanks to policy support including tax cuts and subsidies.

Restaurant revenue rebounded to post growth of 8.4 per cent, up from a 1.5 per cent contraction in July. Investment bank Goldman Sachs said, “favourable base effects more than offset the drag from tighter Covid restrictions on the back of protracted local outbreaks”.

Industrial production, a gauge of activity in the manufacturing, mining and utilities sectors, rose by 4.2 per cent in August, year on year, up from 3.8 per cent growth in July.

In comparison, the property market is mired in a deep slump, with real estate investment contracting further to nearly 14 per cent, after a 12.1 per cent decline in July.

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