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China embarks on transition to consumption-centred economy as Beijing moves to unleash spending power: investment guru

  • Fang Fenglei, founder and chairman of Hopu Investment Management, says the transition will take a decade
  • Issues confronting China – property-sector woes, local government debts and the debts of small and medium-sized banks – are all manageable, Fang says

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Pedestrians and shoppers on Nanjing Road in Shanghai on October 3, 2023. Photo: Bloomberg
Kandy Wongin Riyadh

Weak domestic consumption remains the “real worry” for China’s growth outlook, but there are encouraging signs that Beijing is serious about boosting income and transitioning to an economy that is more centred on consumer spending, according to investment guru Fang Fenglei.

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Fang, the founder and chairman of Hopu Investment Management, told the Post on the sidelines of the Future Investment Initiative forum in Riyadh on Wednesday that China’s transition from an industrial-centric economy to one centred on consumption will take a decade if the process starts from now.

“China was used to putting a discount on enhancing the consumption power of peasants and ordinary consumers, because it had to focus on development over the past decades,” he said. “Now with the GDP [gross deomestic product] per capita reaching US$13,000, the fundamental matter of increasing income levels should be resolved.”

Beijing’s decision on Tuesday to raise its budget deficit ratio to about 3.8 per cent of GDP – well above the 3 per cent target set in March – is a “meaningful pointer” of Beijing’s determination to make this adjustment, he said.
People walk past a billboard for Swiss luxury watch retailer Blancpain at an upscale shopping mall in Beijing on June 13, 2023. Photo: AP
People walk past a billboard for Swiss luxury watch retailer Blancpain at an upscale shopping mall in Beijing on June 13, 2023. Photo: AP

There are 80 million civil servants in China plus numerous state-owned enterprises that are awaiting a salary boost. As long as the income situation of this huge population improves, Fang said, consumption power will be released.

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