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Opinion | From Taiwan to the economy, the West is being overly pessimistic about Xi Jinping’s China

  • The West fears a reverse of economic reforms, sees a lack of political progress and accuses Beijing of becoming aggressive and provocative, particularly on Taiwan
  • Yet America’s China-bashing is closely linked to its domestic politics, and accusations of Chinese sabre-rattling must be seen in the context of US provocations

Reading Time:4 minutes
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Illustration: Craig Stephens

There is an enormous amount of animosity in Western media towards Chinese President Xi Jinping’s purported power grab: Xi has been depicted as a Maoist ideologue who cares about nothing but absolute control of the party and economy.

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Some China observers predict that Xi will reinstate a centrally planned system, dismantling or rolling back the free market reforms of the last four decades. These perceptions will prove excessive and simplistic.

First, although Xi will run the country with an iron fist, this does not mean overturning the policies that have produced economic prosperity. He understands the legitimacy of his rule is crucially dependent on delivering economic well-being. It would be sheer stupidity to reverse the pro-market economic policies that have worked.

Second, I can detect no major shift in economic policy in Xi’s report at the 20th party congress. He continues to stress the importance of economic growth, opening up the economy and the indispensable role of the private sector in China’s development.
Even on Taiwan, the basic tone is very little changed from Beijing’s long-standing policy: emphasising peaceful reunification while not abandoning the use of force if necessary. I see nothing suggesting China intends to take over Taiwan before 2024, as warned by Admiral Michael Gilday, chief of US naval operations.
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Third, many have focused on Xi’s cabinet reshuffle, lamenting that all members of the Politburo Standing Committee are “his” people. Is this any different from other countries? Would US President Joe Biden appoint to his cabinet someone who is disloyal and always challenging his vision?
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