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Sri Lankans take to the streets as the country faces its worst economic crisis in memory, with shortages of food, fuel and medicines. Photo: AP

Sri Lanka has flirted with economic crises for decades, but it is now on the verge of an unmitigated catastrophe that could quickly turn into a humanitarian disaster. Sri Lankans are already suffering from oil shortages as well as power cuts, and there is growing concern that the country – recovering from recently enacted disastrous agricultural policies – might not be able to feed its people.

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Facing nationwide protests, the government declared a temporary state of emergency from April 2-4. But even after the emergency period is lifted, the underlying issues that resulted in such economic calamity will persist.

As the richest country per capita in South Asia, it is worth considering what has gone so wrong in Sri Lanka.

There are a number of macro factors that have exacerbated the situation – from the effect of the pandemic on the country’s tourism industry and on foreign remittances, to higher oil prices caused by the Russia-Ukraine war. But the underlying reasons for Sri Lanka’s suffering are poor economic policymaking and decades of debt mismanagement.

The culprits in this situation are easy to identify. Over the past several decades, the Rajapaksa family has been behind many of the decisions that have produced the current crisis. Family members currently serve as prime minister (Mahinda), as president and defence minister (Gotabaya), and as finance minister (Basil), in addition to holding a number of prominent roles in the private sector.
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Upon returning to power in 2019, the Rajapaksa government introduced massive tax cuts and controversially pushed an order to immediately convert Sri Lanka’s entire agricultural sector to organic farming without providing any training to farmers. The 2021 rice harvest failed, requiring Sri Lanka to pay huge sums to import food.
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