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Trump’s America lost to China in an economic chess game, and Biden is unlikely to win

  • As the Trump administration lurched from one tactic to another, Beijing played a slow game of strengthening cross-border commerce
  • Asia’s economic landscape seems likely to be dominated more by China than the US during Biden’s term

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An attendant walking past EU and China flags ahead of the EU-China High-level Economic Dialogue at Diaoyutai State Guesthouse in Beijing in 2018. EU’s new investment deal with China has alarmed the incoming Joe Biden administration. Photo: Reuters

Donald Trump has been busy throughout his disastrous presidency slashing and burning trade and investment agreements which the United States had carefully crafted over many years. Meanwhile, China has been equally busy creating a powerful arsenal of trade and other accords with key partners.

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This process moved a significant stage further forward with the reaching of the Comprehensive Agreement on Investment (CAI) between China and the European Union on December 30, just one month after Beijing signed the Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership (RCEP) with 14 partner nations.

As Hung Tran at the Atlantic Council in Washington says: “In addition to the CAI, the RCEP and China’s growing trade and investment relationships with developing countries – especially those carried out under the Belt and Road Initiative umbrella – have constituted a vast and viable economic living space for China.”

And this, adds the former executive managing director at the Institute of International Finance, and former deputy director at the International Monetary Fund, has “enabled China to build up political influence and support, especially among developing countries, as it faces protracted strategic contention with the United States and the West in general”.

Thus, however successful President-elect Joe Biden may be in repairing the damage done to US interests by the Trump administration, Asia’s economic landscape seems likely to be dominated more by China than the US during Biden’s term.
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