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China’s ‘national team’ seen stepping up stock market intervention after a sudden surge in assets at top exchange-traded funds

  • Sudden inflows this year signal heightened intervention by influential state-run funds to support the nation’s stock market
  • ‘In the near term, the national team is still likely to buy stocks to create a floor for index levels,’ Julius Baer’s Richard Tang says

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A tourist poses for photographs with the Bund Bull in Shanghai on February 19. Photo: Bloomberg
China’s state-run funds have been supporting domestic stock prices at a faster clip this year in their market intervention since late June, after a notable surge in the assets of major exchange-traded funds (ETFs) that track benchmark stock indices, according to fund data and market estimates.
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Net assets at the nation’s top five ETFs, managed by E Fund Management, Huatai-PineBridge Asset Management, China Asset Management and Harvest Fund Management, stood at US$79.2 billion on February 9, according to a report published by Goldman Sachs.

The five ETFs, which track the CSI 300 Index and the Shanghai Stock Exchange’s top 50 stocks, reported combined net assets of 339 billion yuan (US$47.1 billion) at the end of 2023, 194 billion yuan on June 30 and 185 billion yuan on March 31 last year.

The sharp inflows are seen as a proxy for heightened market intervention by state-run funds, also called the “national team”, after a three-year market slump spilled into January this year.

A brokerage’s office window in Beijing on February 5. Chinese stocks have risen in the two days after the Lunar New Year holiday. Photo: AP Photo
A brokerage’s office window in Beijing on February 5. Chinese stocks have risen in the two days after the Lunar New Year holiday. Photo: AP Photo

“Direct government sponsorship is probably the most effective way to lift share prices and boost sentiment in the short-run,” Kinger Lau, chief China equity strategist at Goldman Sachs, said in a report. “More forceful and transparent policy easing and reforms, and boosting confidence in the private economy, are probably necessary to re-rate China equities in a more sustained manner.”

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