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Stock investors turn to Politburo for surprises as meeting gains significance amid headwinds from China lockdowns

  • Onshore stocks languished near a two-year low as investors yearn for a stronger dose of economic stimulus
  • Politburo meeting gains more significance after disappointment with the central bank’s go-slow approach in monetary easing

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A man inside the Shanghai Stock Exchange building at the Pudong financial district in Shanghai on February 28, 2020. Photo: Reuters

Signs of economic slowdown caused by China’s uncompromising Covid policy have elevated the significance of the Communist Party’s Politburo meeting this week as traders look for a cure to end US$2 trillion stock rout this year.

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The monthly meeting, which typically reviews the state of the economy and sets the policy tone and direction for industries, comes into sharper focus amid factory closures and supply-chain disruptions caused by the citywide pandemic lockdown in Shanghai and curbs elsewhere.

Foreign funds have cut their holdings of onshore stocks. More than US$238 billion in market value has evaporated from the MSCI China Index since March 15 when the market hit a five-year low, bringing total losses for the year to US$2.7 trillion, according to Bloomberg data.

“Beijing is clearly worried,” Rory Green, chief China economist at TS Lombard, a London-based research firm, said in a report last week. “State spending needs to do the heavy lifting because Covid outbreaks reduce the demand for credit and the multiplier of stimulus measures.”

China’s central bank has taken a go-slow approach in monetary easing against the backdrop of capital outflows and higher US rates. Photo: Reuters
China’s central bank has taken a go-slow approach in monetary easing against the backdrop of capital outflows and higher US rates. Photo: Reuters

The 25-member Politburo, headed by General Secretary Xi Jinping, is the highest decision-making body within the party. Its members, who also serve concurrently in legislative, administrative and military roles, hold big sway on the financial market.

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In the December 2020 meeting, the members called for stronger anti-monopoly efforts to prevent “disorderly expansion of capital,” precipitating a crackdown and a trillion-dollar rout in Chinese tech stocks at home and abroad.
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