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Li Auto forecasts first-quarter sales drop as competition sharpens in Chinese EV market, reports record profit

  • Beijing-based carmaker says deliveries in the January to March period could decline by 21.9 to 24.1 per cent
  • Posts 104.5 per cent increase in net income for the three months ending December 31

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A Li Auto assembly line in Jiangsu province’s Changzhou. The carmaker delivered 376,030 premium EVs to mainland Chinese customers in 2023, a jump of 182 per cent year on year. Photo: Xinhua
Daniel Renin Shanghai
Li Auto, mainland China’s nearest rival to Tesla, has forecast lacklustre sales for the first quarter of this year, adding to evidence that the world’s largest electric-vehicle (EV) market is grappling with a slowdown.
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The Beijing-based carmaker said on Monday that it could deliver between 100,000 and 103,000 EVs in the January to March period, a decline of 21.9 to 24.1 per cent from the 131,805 units delivered in the previous quarter.

The bearish forecast was revealed after Li Auto reported a record quarterly profit that beat analysts’ expectations. The company posted a net income of 5.75 billion yuan (US$799 million) in the three months ending December 31, up 104.5 per cent quarter on quarter. It also more than doubled a median forecast of 2.8 billion yuan made by analysts in a Bloomberg survey.

“Premium EV makers like Li Auto are under pressure to achieve a high sales volume now that consumers are becoming more cautious amid a slowing economy,” said Gao Shen, an independent analyst in Shanghai.

Li Auto delivered 376,030 premium EVs to mainland Chinese customers in 2023, a jump of 182 per cent year on year that exceeded its sales target of 300,000. The company broke its monthly sales record for nine consecutive months between April and December.

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It trailed only Tesla in China’s premium EV segment. The US carmaker handed more than 600,000 Shanghai-made Model 3s and Model Ys to mainland buyers last year, an increase of 37 per cent from 2022.

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