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Macroscope | Is Shinzo Abe offering Japan’s Samurai bonds as a foil against China’s debt diplomacy?

  • Japan’s prime minister is offering 200 billion yen (US$1.75 billion) in aid to help wean Malaysia off its financial dependence on China’s loans
  • Money is fungible, and governments borrowing money in global bond markets are free to direct those funds to projects

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Malaysian Prime Minister Mahathir Mohamad (L) receiving a Japanese national football jersey from his Japanese counterpart Shinzo Abe (R) during their joint press remarks at Abe's official residence in Tokyo on 12 June 2018. Photo: EPA

Chequebook diplomacy is gaining ground in Asia as China, Japan and the United States compete for economic and strategic influence in the region.

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The latest case is Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe’s offer of 200 billion yen (US$1.75 billion) in aid to help wean Malaysia off what has become its financial dependence on China.

Malaysia will use the aid, in the form of a loan, to replace some of its debt to China, whose lending to Malaysia and others for the Belt and Road Initiative has been described as debt-trap diplomacy.

Such refinancing makes economic sense, even if it does appear unlikely to enhance Sino-Japanese relations.

Last week’s Japan-Malaysia agreement has been viewed as a payback by Japan to Malaysia, which for years made Japan its model for its own development under an official Look East policy. Malaysia has also recently cancelled some major China-funded infrastructure projects.

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But there is more to it than just that. What is significant about the deal between Abe and Malaysian Prime Minister Mahathir Mohamad when the 92-year-old leader visited Tokyo is that Japan has offered its Samurai bond market as a place for Malaysia to raise money with, in effect, a Japanese government guarantee.

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