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China’s new home prices continue downward spiral, as sector swings from ‘overheated to over-cooled’

  • The average price for 70 cities tracked by the National Bureau of Statistics in November recorded its sharpest decline since February 2015
  • China’s property market has ‘gone from overheated to over-cooled’, analyst says

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A residential construction site in Beijing. China’s property market has deteriorated after policymakers and monetary authorities moved to cool the speculative fervour that has underpinned it. Photo: Reuters

China’s new home prices recorded their biggest month-on-month decline in more than six years in November, amid declining sales and a liquidity crunch in the property sector.

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The average price for 70 cities tracked by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) fell 0.3 per cent last month from October for their sharpest decline since a 0.5 per cent drop in February 2015, shows data released by NBS on Wednesday.

“New home prices fell for a third straight month, at a faster pace. This indicates the property market has gone from overheated to over-cooled,” said Yan Yuejin, director of Shanghai-based E-house China Research and Development Institute. “Home prices continue to fall largely due to slow sales amid slacking demand. This is also affecting Chinese developers, who are under severe pressure to shore up their cash flow,” he added.

China’s property market, which accounts for a quarter of the country’s gross domestic product by some metrics, has deteriorated since May, after policymakers and monetary authorities moved to cool the speculative fervour that has underpinned it.
The debt crisis at China Evergrande Group has affected both buyers and developers. While property firms have found it difficult to borrow to fund their projects, buyers have faced a tougher lending environment and have also become reluctant about entering the market because of the turmoil surrounding the property sector.

03:02

Chinese real estate giants Evergrande and Kaisa continue unloading assets to cover debt

Chinese real estate giants Evergrande and Kaisa continue unloading assets to cover debt

Fifty-nine of the 70 cities tracked by NBS recorded declines in the prices of new homes last month, the largest number of cities since March 2015, according to E-house China analysis. The cost of lived-in homes also declined, falling in 63 of the cities compared with 64 in October, it said.

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The average price of new homes remained flat in China’s tier-1 cities last month, while tier-2 and tier-3 cities saw 0.4 per cent and 0.3 per cent declines, respectively, E-House China said.

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