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Hongkongers have expressed concerns over the financial viability of two large-scale land creation projects. Photo: May Tse

Hong Kong’s Paul Chan brushes aside concerns of public funding drain by Lantau Tomorrow, Northern Metropolis megaprojects

  • Hong Kong’s finance chief describes megaprojects in northern New Territories, waters off Lantau Island as key to economic growth, housing supply boost
  • ‘The government’s determination to increase land supply will not waver because of short-term market fluctuations,’ Chan adds
Hong Kong’s finance chief has brushed aside concerns over the impact of two multibillion-dollar megaprojects on the public coffers amid a faltering global economy.
Financial Secretary Paul Chan Mo-po on Wednesday described the Lantau Tomorrow Vision and Northern Metropolis schemes as “the golden key” to economic development and boosting the housing supply.

“[The two projects] are entirely financially viable,” Chan said. “The government’s determination to increase land supply will not waver because of short-term market fluctuations.”

Chan told an economic forum, jointly organised by the think tank Our Hong Kong Foundation and the Development Bureau, that many business corporations and financial institutions had expressed confidence in the projects, even amid a recent period of high interest rates and a weak property market.

Clear up financial doubts about Lantau mega project, Hong Kong officials urged

The forum touched on the Kau Yi Chau project, part of the Lantau Tomorrow Vision scheme, that aims to reclaim 1,000 hectares (2,471 acres) to create three artificial islands for housing and a third central business district at an estimated construction cost of HK$580 billion (US$74 billion) and expected financial returns of HK$750 billion.
The Northern Metropolis project aims to develop a new innovation and technology hub along the border with mainland China in the New Territories, creating housing for 2.5 million people and 650,000 job opportunities. Projected development costs have yet to be revealed.

Chan said the government was very confident both projects could attract investors and pointed to a planning report that outlined measures to come up with 7,300 hectares of land between 2019 and 2048.

The supply of “disposed sites” – plots of land granted for residential development for which construction has yet to commence – will reach 3,300 hectares, more than half of which will come from the two projects.

Financial Secretary Paul Chan stops for a selfie with an attendee at an economic forum held on Wednesday. Photo: Xiaomei Chen
Chan stressed that developing land was essential to boosting Hong Kong’s economic prospects and resolving its long-standing housing shortage, adding that the city needed to “plan exceptionally in advance” to build up land reserves by simultaneously working on both megaprojects.

At the same event, Secretary for Development Bernadette Linn Hon-ho addressed calls for authorities to halt the Lantau scheme amid a weak economy and property market.

Linn argued it would take at least five years for reclaimed land to become available.

“The first batch of reclaimed land will be available in 2028 in Kau Yi Chau,” she said. “If we put a halt on the project now, and when the economy recovers and when we need the land for economic development, will the world wait for us to generate land?”

Linn said the two projects would incorporate special design features, including revitalising waterways and building stormwater storage tanks, to proactively prepare for the challenges posed by extreme weather.

Regarding concerns about whether reclamation would be resilient enough against extreme weather, Linn suggested that the average ground elevation of the artificial islands should be 7.5 metres (24 feet) above principal datum. Mean sea level is about 1.3 metres above the datum.

Meanwhile, Chan said authorities were looking at funding the megaprojects through options such as bond issuance, a build-operate-transfer model, and rail and property development.

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Liu Pak-wai, emeritus professor of economics at Chinese University, said the traditional method of financing infrastructure projects in Hong Kong with land sales might not work for the two projects in the short-run given the high costs.

He said historically, there was more than enough revenue from land sales but in the short-run – for example, in the first five years – there would be none as it took time to develop the new land.

He said the most direct way to generate short-term cash flow was by issuing bonds.

“There is a lot of room for bond issuance in Hong Kong. Right now, Hong Kong bonds stand at HK$120 billion, which is only 4 per cent of our total GDP,” Liu said, noting the equivalent figure for the United States was 130 per cent and for Japan 260 per cent.

In addition to bonds, private-public partnerships were another means to lift some of the costs off the government’s shoulders. Hong Kong Association of Banks acting chairman Stephen Chan pointed to potential issues on whether there was enough government support and distribution of financial risk and responsibilities.

“Hong Kong is no stranger to private-public partnership,” Chan said, citing examples of the MTR Corporation and property development, urban renewal projects in To Kwa Wan and the construction of different tunnels.

The Development Bureau on Sunday released a public engagement report on the artificial islands plan that highlighted public concerns over the scheme’s potential strain on government coffers, despite 60 per cent of 7,800 respondents supporting the project.

Greenpeace Hong Kong had also accused authorities of “misleading the public” about prevailing attitudes surrounding the project.

The environmental group said a survey it commissioned in March found that only one-third of residents had confidence in the economic benefits of the envisioned business district.

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