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Book review: The Power of Noticing, by Max Bazerman

In 2001, four years before Hurricane Katrina hit North America's Gulf Coast, science writer Eric Berger foretold the disaster with chilling accuracy.

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Why you can trust SCMP
Hurricane Katrina brought death and destruction to New Orleans, a disaster that had been predicted four years earlier in 2001. Photo: AP


by Max Bazerman
Simon & Schuster
4 stars

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In 2001, four years before Hurricane Katrina hit North America's Gulf Coast, science writer Eric Berger foretold the disaster with chilling accuracy.

"New Orleans is sinking. And its main buffer from a hurricane, the protective Mississippi River delta, is quickly eroding away, leaving the historic city perilously close to disaster. So vulnerable, in fact, that earlier this year the Federal Emergency Management Agency ranked the potential damage to New Orleans as among the three likeliest, most catastrophic disasters facing this country," Berger wrote in the .

The other two disasters? A massive San Francisco earthquake and, prophetically, a terrorist attack on New York City, reports Harvard Business School professor Max Bazerman.

His point is that leaders should hone their observation skills - learn how to identify key information, which like the Berger report, may lie in plain sight but go overlooked. Imagine the edge you would gain if you could notice vital details others miss, Bazerman says, and proceeds to address a slew of recent crises he blames on cognitive blindness.
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The corrupt energy giant Enron, the doomed space shuttle Challenger and even the 2008 financial meltdown all feature. In each case, he gauges what warning signs eluded scrutiny and why. Besides, he defines general traps to avoid, from "motivated blindness" to misdirection.

Bazerman's humiliating core observation is simple: essentially, we are less shrewd than we assume.

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