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The Power Shift | Here are 9 guesses at the next Politburo Standing Committee line-up

Not as much overlap as you think, but at least two other predictions match the South China Morning Post's.

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Why you can trust SCMP
Top row from left to right: Xi Jinping, Li Keqiang, Zhang Dejiang, Wang Qishan, Li Yuanchao; bottom row left to right: Zhang Gaoli, Wang Yang, Liu Yandong, Liu Yunshan, Yu Zhengsheng. Photo: Reuters
Top row from left to right: Xi Jinping, Li Keqiang, Zhang Dejiang, Wang Qishan, Li Yuanchao; bottom row left to right: Zhang Gaoli, Wang Yang, Liu Yandong, Liu Yunshan, Yu Zhengsheng. Photo: Reuters
Top row from left to right: Xi Jinping, Li Keqiang, Zhang Dejiang, Wang Qishan, Li Yuanchao; bottom row left to right: Zhang Gaoli, Wang Yang, Liu Yandong, Liu Yunshan, Yu Zhengsheng. Photo: Reuters
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One of the few major news items expected to come out of the 18th Party Congress, which begins tomorrow in Beijing, are names of the new members on the Communist Party's Politburo Standing Committee, which effectively runs the country.

The exact makeup of the committee has long been under speculation, a favourite of China watchers and media alike, and we've gathered 9 of the more prominent forecasts below.

While seats belonging to Xi Jinping and Li Keqiang are more or less assured, as is a smaller committee size of 7 members, there remains the question of two swing seats that could go to known conservatives, Liu Yunshan and Zhang Gaoli (underlined below), or two men considered bold reformers, Wang Yang and Li Yuanchao.

SCMP sources have indicated that Wang and Li won't make the cut, but as the chart below shows, others beg to differ.

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Plus (+) symbols indicate a certainty vote and tilde (~) symbols a maybe.

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