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Bond defaults set to rise among Chinese companies, says S&P Global Ratings

Reform efforts are picking up pace among state-owned enterprises, leading to an increase in bond default risk, analysts say

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Qiang Liao, (left) senior director of Financial Institutions Ratings, Paul Gruenwald, managing director and chief economist, Asia-Pacific; and Christopher Lee, managing director of Corporate Ratings, attend S&P China's Economic Outlook and Credit Update on Corporates and banks in Admiralty on May 24, 2016. Photo K. Y. Cheng

Efforts to reform China’s struggling state-owned enterprises has led to a higher risk of companies missing debt payments, but that hasn’t dampened investors’ appetite in China’s bond market, analysts say.

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“We’re seeing new defaults across all instruments, from private companies to state-owned enterprises (SOEs), there’s no escape,” said Christopher Lee, managing director and chief ratings officer at S&P Global Ratings.

Defaults, or default risks, refer to companies not being able to pay back investors on debt obligations, usually in the bond market – where companies issue notes at a fixed rate of interest to borrow money.

More than 10 bond issuers in China, including state-owned enterprises and private companies, have defaulted on bond payments this year, according to S&P.

“This is already a record high compared to the same time last year. It’s a new high [and] a new trend,” he said.

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Lee explained that lenders are taking note of China’s “supply-side reforms”, which were implemented late last year, and are targeted at closing and liquidating industrial enterprises to tackle overcapacity problems and to reduce leverage.

“I think [the policy] was taken as a cue by some lenders to stop providing liquidity for some of these struggling companies. We’ve seen that translate into an increase of defaults in the SOE sector,” he said.

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